Chad vs Chance
American parents have registered 241,767 Chads since 1880, against 56,010 Chances. But in 2025 it was Chance that was commoner, 733 babies to 96.
Babies given each name, 1880–2025
Chad Chance
Each line is every baby given the name that year, girls and boys added together — the only count that means the same thing for both names. A line breaks where the name fell below five babies in a year — the point at which the SSA stops publishing it — rather than being drawn through a figure nobody published. A single published year in a gap shows as a dot.
Who was ahead
Of the 112 years in which either name was published, Chad for 84 years and Chance for 28 years. The lead changed hands 4 times.
Side by side
| Chad | Chance | |
|---|---|---|
| Total US births | 241,767 | 56,010 |
| Most in one year | 13,441 | 2,293 |
| Babies in 2025 | 96 | 733 |
| Estimated living today | 222,000 | 55,000 |
| Median age today | 46 | 21 |
| Peak year | 1972 | 1996 |
| Best rank | 25th boys | 154th boys |
| Rank in 2025 | 1,699th | 442nd |
| First recorded | 1914 | 1883 |
| Girls / boys | 1,039 / 240,728 | 1,388 / 54,622 |
A rank is a position within one sex’s list for one year, so the two rank rows are not subtracted from one another and the winning column is not marked on them. The living figure is a life-table estimate, not a count.
Which name is older
Half of the Chads alive today are over 46; half the Chances are over 21. That is 25 years between them: two names in use at the same time, worn by two different generations.
Where each one is strongest
- Chad North Dakota (2.7×), South Dakota (2.7×), Iowa (2.5×)
- Chance Nevada (3.1×), Wyoming (2.6×), Montana (2.5×)
How much commoner the name is in that state than it is nationally, from births recorded since 1910.
Both names abroad
Countries whose statistics office publishes both names, so the comparison can be made somewhere other than the United States.
| Country | Chad | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| England and Wales | 1,161 | 581 |
| France | 540 | 170 |
Every spelling a country files separately is added together, over whatever years that country publishes — which is not the same range in any two of them, so read the columns against each other and not the rows.
Compare something else
Related comparisons
Social Security Administration birth records, 1880–2025, public domain. Full histories: Chad and Chance.